Statistical Trends of the Grand National
The Grand National is a true test of endurance and stamina from both jockey and runner, and it is usually by looking at the jockey’s track record and the horse’s likelihood of clearing each fence that makes up our minds whether a particular horse will win the Grand National.
If you know where to look for statistical trends, you will know where to place your bets, resting assured in the knowledge that you have done your research properly. We can’t just assume that a horse that won last year will win again, Red Rum has been the only horse in the Grand National’s history to win three times, and although a possible second win at the next race might be on the cards for previous winners, it is unlikely that it will happen. Check out the site in April for grand national odds!
We need to take in the horse’s endurance ability as one of the contributing factors towards a winning trend. Horses that are winners of less significant races than the Grand National need not be dismissed as potential winners when it comes to running the ultimate steeplechase. A horse’s stamina is key to working out they are a good one to place a bet on – if their strengths lie in running long distances (three miles or more) over fences, they could well be good contenders for the Grand National title.
Even an issue such as the last day the horse ran can be an influential factor on whether they win or not. Over the past 28 years all winners had competed at least 50 days prior to their winning race. Although their last run can be a good thing to look at before placing a bet, you should check that the horse hasn’t run too recently – they may be more worn out than usual, it would be like you running a marathon one week and then being made to run it again the next week. Great for training purposes, but just think how tired the horse might be for their main race!
Very young horses and fairly old horses tend not to do so well in the Grand National. Aged nine is probably the optimum age for a winner, as by this stage they are matured and powerful enough to deal with the unruly nature of this challenging, yet increasingly popular race.